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The outcome of six grim days of bloodshed in the Caucasus has
triggered an outpouring of the most nauseating hypocrisy from western
politicians and their captive media.
As talking heads thundered against
Russian imperialism and brutal disproportionality, US vice-president
Dick Cheney, faithfully echoed by Gordon Brown and David Miliband,
declared that "Russian aggression must not go unanswered". George Bush
denounced Russia for having "invaded a sovereign neighbouring state"
and threatening "a democratic government". Such an action, he insisted,
"is unacceptable in the 21st century".
Could these by any chance
be the leaders of the same governments that in 2003 invaded and
occupied - along with Georgia, as luck would have it - the sovereign
state of Iraq on a false pretext at the cost of hundreds of thousands
of lives? Or even the two governments that blocked a ceasefire in the
summer of 2006 as Israel pulverised Lebanon's infrastructure and killed
more than a thousand civilians in retaliation for the capture or
killing of five soldiers?
You'd be hard put to recall after all
the fury over Russian aggression that it was actually Georgia that
began the war last Thursday with an all-out attack on South Ossetia to
"restore constitutional order" - in other words, rule over an area it
has never controlled since the collapse of the Soviet Union. Nor, amid
the outrage at Russian bombardments, have there been much more than the
briefest references to the atrocities committed by Georgian forces
against citizens it claims as its own in South Ossetia's capital
Tskhinvali. Several hundred civilians were killed there by Georgian
troops last week, along with Russian soldiers operating under a 1990s
peace agreement: "I saw a Georgian soldier throw a grenade into a
basement full of women and children," one Tskhinvali resident, Saramat
Tskhovredov, told reporters on Tuesday.
Might it be because
Georgia is what Jim Murphy, Britain's minister for Europe, called a
"small beautiful democracy". Well it's certainly small and beautiful,
but both the current president, Mikheil Saakashvili, and his
predecessor came to power in western-backed coups, the most recent
prettified as a "Rose revolution". Saakashvili was then initially
rubber-stamped into office with 96% of the vote before establishing
what the International Crisis Group recently described as an
"increasingly authoritarian" government, violently cracking down on
opposition dissent and independent media last November. "Democratic"
simply seems to mean "pro-western" in these cases.
The
long-running dispute over South Ossetia - as well as Abkhazia, the
other contested region of Georgia - is the inevitable consequence of
the breakup of the Soviet Union. As in the case of Yugoslavia,
minorities who were happy enough to live on either side of an internal
boundary that made little difference to their lives feel quite
differently when they find themselves on the wrong side of an
international state border.
Such problems would be hard enough
to settle through negotiation in any circumstances. But add in the
tireless US promotion of Georgia as a pro-western, anti-Russian forward
base in the region, its efforts to bring Georgia into Nato, the routing
of a key Caspian oil pipeline through its territory aimed at weakening
Russia's control of energy supplies, and the US-sponsored recognition
of the independence of Kosovo - whose status Russia had explicitly
linked to that of South Ossetia and Abkhazia - and conflict was only a
matter of time.
The CIA has in fact been closely involved in
Georgia since the Soviet collapse. But under the Bush administration,
Georgia has become a fully fledged US satellite. Georgia's forces are
armed and trained by the US and Israel. It has the third-largest
military contingent in Iraq - hence the US need to airlift 800 of them
back to fight the Russians at the weekend. Saakashvili's links with the
neoconservatives in Washington are particularly close: the lobbying
firm headed by US Republican candidate John McCain's top foreign policy
adviser, Randy Scheunemann, has been paid nearly $900,000 by the
Georgian government since 2004.
But underlying the conflict of
the past week has also been the Bush administration's wider, explicit
determination to enforce US global hegemony and prevent any regional
challenge, particularly from a resurgent Russia. That aim was first
spelled out when Cheney was defence secretary under Bush's father, but
its full impact has only been felt as Russia has begun to recover from
the disintegration of the 1990s.
Over the past decade, Nato's
relentless eastward expansion has brought the western military alliance
hard up against Russia's borders and deep into former Soviet territory.
American military bases have spread across eastern Europe and central
Asia, as the US has helped install one anti-Russian client government
after another through a series of colour-coded revolutions. Now the
Bush administration is preparing to site a missile defence system in
eastern Europe transparently targeted at Russia.
By any sensible
reckoning, this is not a story of Russian aggression, but of US
imperial expansion and ever tighter encirclement of Russia by a
potentially hostile power. That a stronger Russia has now used the
South Ossetian imbroglio to put a check on that expansion should hardly
come as a surprise. What is harder to work out is why Saakashvili
launched last week's attack and whether he was given any encouragement
by his friends in Washington.
If so, it has spectacularly
backfired, at savage human cost. And despite Bush's attempts to talk
tough yesterday, the war has also exposed the limits of US power in the
region. As long as Georgia proper's independence is respected - best
protected by opting for neutrality - that should be no bad thing.
Unipolar domination of the world has squeezed the space for genuine
self-determination and the return of some counterweight has to be
welcome. But the process of adjustment also brings huge dangers. If
Georgia had been a member of Nato, this week's conflict would have
risked a far sharper escalation. That would be even more obvious in the
case of Ukraine - which yesterday gave a warning of the potential for
future confrontation when its pro-western president threatened to
restrict the movement of Russian ships in and out of their Crimean base
in Sevastopol. As great power conflict returns, South Ossetia is likely
to be only a taste of things to come.
From The Guardian
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